Panel discussion: “The shape of the future: how states project scientific and technological development?”
The current phase of global development is characterised by an unprecedented acceleration in scientific and technological progress and profound structural shifts in the global economy. As new technological paradigms emerge, strategic foresight is no longer solely an academic tool; instead, it has transformed into a key element of national science and technology policy, directly affecting competitiveness, technological leadership and the resilience of national economies.
A state’s capacity to identify promising technologies in a timely manner, recognise long-term risks and emerging opportunities, and proactively concentrate resources within critical areas largely dictates its standing in the world's unfolding technological architecture.
Today, countries around the world are designing their own “shapes of the future” – science and technology foresight systems that integrate expert insights, scenario modelling, big data analytics, and other tools designed for managing long-term trends. Global practices are steadily evolving from periodic forecasting studies to more agile, continuous systems for monitoring technological shifts, enabling countries to respond more quickly to emerging challenges and adjust their science and technology development priorities.
At the same time, national models vary considerably in terms of the stakeholders involved, the role of government and the expert community, the forecasting horizons, the tools employed, and the mechanisms used to translate forecasts into concrete policy decisions.
During the panel discussion, representatives from various countries will discuss how science and technology foresight systems operate in their respective states: who formulates the long-term outlook, which methodologies and data sources are utilised, how technological priorities are defined, and how forecasting outcomes are integrated into state decision-making processes.
The discussion will facilitate a comparison of national approaches to engaging with the future, while shaping a distinct framework of the global science and technology agenda, viewed simultaneously from several countries and regions around the world.
How are forecasting methods adapting to rapid technological, economic, and geopolitical shifts, and how do they enable the integration of emerging challenges? Which global scientific and technological trends are currently highlighted by experts from different nations? Which technologies have the potential to exert the greatest impact on the economy and society in the coming decades? These and other questions will be addressed by the panel discussion participants.